Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-13 1876.653494 2049.996070 2227.353669 2422.112883 2629.691599 2844.039128 3081.825958
2024-10-20 1592.291470 1845.889271 2116.890348 2426.943304 2770.738733 3139.159222 3562.685648
2024-10-27 1355.297530 1646.035661 1967.353132 2346.563368 2779.543252 3256.197237 3818.227645
2024-11-03 1267.495923 1597.167952 1971.242142 2423.395498 2951.251368 3544.148934 4256.431988
2024-11-10 1181.337695 1539.094857 1954.756039 2467.924001 3078.745318 3776.840863 4628.999904
2024-11-17 1084.913413 1459.449997 1904.521180 2465.039042 3144.351267 3933.203162 4910.242169
2024-11-24 989.198335 1372.776440 1838.612876 2436.516582 3173.553624 4042.274408 5132.801360
2024-12-01 930.599118 1327.836665 1819.646598 2461.463487 3264.373097 4222.919255 5440.081578
2024-12-08 867.193893 1272.043506 1782.912564 2460.522684 3320.393186 4359.637389 5693.785359
2024-12-15 831.181503 1249.423881 1786.108415 2508.108716 3435.672941 4568.608790 6036.652630
2024-12-22 772.039464 1191.947577 1740.652626 2490.141017 3465.754346 4670.742618 6247.533537
2024-12-29 747.337317 1179.750591 1753.355941 2546.689860 3590.473452 4891.330594 6607.033268
2025-01-05 704.404960 1140.532083 1729.010167 2554.405345 3653.399151 5036.819511 6877.336806
2025-01-12 663.638088 1102.088230 1703.797658 2559.471906 3712.121507 5177.214322 7142.793554
2025-01-19 596.292867 1021.021056 1615.855779 2475.729333 3650.031261 5159.666401 7204.844773
2025-01-26 587.257090 1025.557818 1647.428660 2555.776574 3807.036084 5427.058229 7635.144115
2025-02-02 568.371839 1013.987943 1655.153194 2602.157408 3918.703444 5636.103171 7991.941165
2025-02-09 536.028107 979.872138 1628.720245 2599.152678 3962.208134 5755.206223 8232.251978
2025-02-16 498.380942 935.258607 1584.873458 2569.444306 3967.406870 5822.488868 8404.314696
2025-02-23 478.606695 917.921884 1580.392835 2595.428635 4049.391723 5992.498452 8712.983329
2025-03-02 452.988687 889.624284 1558.130315 2594.448754 4092.914724 6110.618717 8953.398072
2025-03-09 441.770350 884.419402 1570.481101 2644.007012 4207.929441 6326.362618 9325.943612
2025-03-16 414.517763 850.749957 1537.605703 2625.295677 4224.986508 6408.270617 9519.115244